Chelsea showed that they can score with 10 men on field against top team Barcelona. Bayern showed that German teams fight till end !

From 1/8 finals till finals Chelsea scored in all matches.

Bayern didn't score against Basel, but they had important Bundesliga match in mind, so they won 0:7 in away match against Basel. In rest matches they scored 2 goals per match.

This is finals, no more calculations, winner takes it all. It might be dull and boring till first goal, but 1 goal will open this game a lot.

Even some players missing on both sides.

I hope to see beauty from UCL finals and lots of goals ! Bayern has huge advantage on home ground. But Chelsea will not surrender.

But let me tell you why I think this is value:
- so far they met two times, 3:2 at Munchen and 4:2 away.
- in UCL Bayern at home had 25 goals in 7 games, 3.57 goals per match
- Chelsea away in UCL, 2.66 goals per match

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Osters won yesterday, and with that win Hammarby is now 3 points behind.
Hammarby is one of the best Suppertan clubs so far, H2H says 3 wins from 4 games at home won against Assyriska.
Assyriska won only 1 game in 8 times they met, while Hammarby won 5 from 8.

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CFR Cluj won last game in 90' they feel like X is enough here, but with win they would secure title. Coach said that late goal like in last game is welcomed as well, and he wouldn't mind it.


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Both teams have chance to go to Europe, Steaua is there, with 62 points, Rapid is between still in European League but one game more with 61 points and Dinamo Bucuresti with 59 points 1 game less than Rapid. Interesting is that Steua is secure, cause Dinamo and Rapid will play cup finals, and one of those two will go for sure. If Dinamo lose this one and in cup, they are out from Europe.

There is only one more round till end.

Steaua coach announced attacking formation, while sponsors of Dinamo offer bonus money if they win !

H2H says that both teams have 12 games won from 35. Steua 7/17 at home (5/18 away), 8/18 at home and Dinamo (4/17 away).

Average when Steua is at home is 3.05 goals per match, 31:12 is goal difference.

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Sturm can't wait for finish of this season, no motivation. Last season Champs, this season they can't get to 4th place.

Sturm would like to go with strongest players on field and win for crowd, to say goodbye for this season, but missing players:
Saumel, Feldhofer, Wolf, Pavlov, Klem, Holzl, Burgstaller and Szabics will mess that plan !

Austria goes for win in this match.

Austria depends on Salzburg game, if Salzburg at home win or draw with 3rd Admira, Austria Vienna with this win goes to Europe. Thing is that Salzburg doesn't need win, so Admira could most likely win.

Edit after game:
What to tell you thought was first half as well, but was too risky, Austria started great 0:1 till 67' then 1:1, .. they had 105% chance, and after that chance, soon they conceded silly goal 2:1, and later red card and it was already clear they will not win and in 93' 3:1 FT

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I have to try this one, Salzburg is already Champ, they have Cup game, and they want to win in Cup as well, today they will mix their team.

Admira has record with away wins, already 4 in row won. If Admira fails, there are good chances for Austria Vienna to go to Europe.

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Vaslui had rest for this game, it is very important game for them. Cluj is first only 3 points in front. Otelul doesn't like Vaslui, but they have no other motivation, they will prepare team for next season. They hold 6th position and no chance for Europe this season.

Vaslui needs to hold 2nd position or attack first.

Form of Vaslui is amazing, last 7 games all won.

I don't think Otelul will surender, and Vaslui has to go for win, I expect 0:2, 1:2 game.

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Villareall II is out from Segunda cause of Villareal relegation into Segunda Division.

Now Cartagena has to catch 5 points to get out of relegation zone. Xerez on other hand is 11 points ahead, which is not so much, 5 games before end everything is possible.

I expect both teams to fight way out of relegation zone.

Xerez scores a lot lately away, last 6 games, 10 goals.

Cartagena, at home in last 6 games, 6 goals, but conceded 9.

I expect 2:1, 2:2, 3:2, 2:3 result.

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Pinnacle has 2.31

Vaslui has to go for win, to defend 2nd position and to attack first if they want to compete for title, great form 7 from 7 last games won. I expect away win.

Away team have some rest for this game, and home team could have card issues but I don't think they care much for it.

HALF STAKE.


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Hacken has 21:11 in 9 games, 3.55 per match. They have attacking style of playing. Doesn't care much for defense. At home they have 13:4 in 4 games, 4.25 goals, yes that is on low number of game and not so important info, but style of the game is more important fact here.

Norrkpoing is right under Hacken on table, with 14:13, that is 3 goals per match.

In last 5 games, both teams have over 3 goals per match, both teams 3.4 goals per match (11:6 and 9:8).

H2H history says 8 games Hacken at home, 13:16 goal difference, 3.62 goals per match.

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Milton is among best away teams, today they need to catch 2 goal difference Huddersfield made, and they need to do it away, it is all or nothing, and they have to try. Huddersfield is among best home teams, and they are more than capable of scoring.

6 times at home Hudd won 4 games, 15:6 goal difference, meaning 3.5 goals per match against Milton at home.

Milton away, in League One had 39:25 in 23 games, meaning they score a lot in away games !

If Milton scores first goal, Hudd will have to score an back, Milton is more than capable of scoring.
It might hurt tip if Hudd scores first, as 3:0 overall lead is really hard but not impossible to catch.

Interesting is that Hudd has 3 players that scored more than 50% of all goals (79 in League One), J. Rhodes scored 36 alone, Novak 13,
while Milton D. has scorers in all positions, spred out.

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Hertha is team that can score goals to strong teams like Leverkusen, they scored 3 goals away.
Won Mainz 1:3 as well away. But this season Hertha looks bad.

In Last game Hertha had lead 1:0, and it melted down and turned in lose cause of pretty bad second half, today they will go for win. I like with German nation in general that they never surrender they go for whole 90' minutes.

I believe both teams will score, and I expect 2:1, 3:1 result.

In past H2H this two teams produce goals, overall average is 2.88, when Hertha away 2.76.

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Today Granada is without 10 players, among those are 3 important midfielders, 2 important defenders and goalkeeper. Doubtful two more players Mainz and Martins (def and mid).

Average minute when Granada concedes away is 28 minute. Average when Rayo scores first goal at home is 41st minute.

I would take pure win 1, but odds of 1.77-1.80 are not tempting. Asian Handicap is not well covered, Over 2.5 is risky cause I'm not sure can Granada score at all, and Rayo could be more than happy with 1:0,2:0 result.

I expect Rayo to attack from first minute.

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Fener has 15 wins from 20 games, only 1 lost game when Galatasaray was away.
But this season Galatasaray was always little ahead. Fenerbache is best home side, 14-3-0, while Galatasaray is best away side, 10-5-2.

In Play Off, Galtasaray is 1 point ahead of Fenerbache, but Fenerbache is in better form, 4-0-1, while Galtasaray 2-2-1.

Average goals when playing at Fener is 3.01.

Rivallity between clubs is enormous. Fener will be eager to win in this one for sure, by all means.

Doubtful, best scorer Alex for Fenerbache, he scored in 8 from 18 games against Galatasaray.

One interesting fact is that Fener was not been beaten on home ground for 42 games now !

One more important fact is that Galatasaray needs only 1 point to lift trophy, but losing here, Fener would be champ.

Without Alex and must win, could be negative for Fener, but on other hand odds are higher and that is good value.

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Check other odds as well:


Deportivo is 5 points ahead, Numancia lost last 3 matches. For today they will miss, two regular players, Del Pino (mid, 21/4) and Juanjo (att, 31/7) - 2nd best attacked in team.

Deportivo will get back important players, Riki (att, 25/11), Gama (mid, 23/6), Colotto (def, 31/3), and Aythami (def, 21/2).

I expect away win.

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Today pure gambling tip.
Esjeberg is amazing, great at home, great away, difference from 2nd Randers is whole 16 points. 17-2-1, 42:17, what else to say. With this win, they move 3 more points away from Randers.

If we look by stats this should be easy win.
I hope they have still same motivation like in past 5-10 matches, as Esjeberg won them all.

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Sturm best home team 27:1, 10-5-1
Admira not best away team, 4-5-7, 22:24. But last 3 won away.

This battle decides third place and leads to Europea. I believe they will not rest if not wining, any of sides. Both are capable of scoring.


Admira away, 22:24 in 16 games, 2.88 goals per match.

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Vaslui looks like only one capable of fighting for title, recent form looks amazing, 5 games, 5 wins.
They are 3rd best away team, in last 5 away games 1 lost, 4 wins, 9-1-5, 22:16.

Pandurii is on 8th place, above middle, they can't get to 4th place, they are not bad at home with 27:12, but I think they will have lack of motivation in this game.

H2H says last 3 times Vaslui won.

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Again me with stats, but I have to. So far this teams met 34 times in their history. 34 games, 59+45 goals, means 3.06 goals per game.
This is "away" game for both teams, game will be played at Bucurest.
In 34 games only 5 draw games.

Atletico Madrid scores more goals. Adrian and Falcao have together 21 goals scored (third Salvio 5 goals), to get to 21 goals we have to take top 4 Athletic scorers Llorente 7, Muniain 5, Susaeta 5 and De Marcos 4.

I don't like that Atletico Madrid didn't rest against Malaga. I was betting that game live, meaning I was watching that game. Falcao was not on level, so maybe playing but not in full strenght, he missed 90% chance just like that. But Atletico turned score around, and for that you need strenght and stamina.

In Primera Atletico MAdrid has 52:46 (lots of conceded goals), but after Aliens (Real and Barcelona) they are not far behind, among some great teams like Valencia, Malaga and even Rayo which just concedes too much.

Athletico Bilbao on other hand 49:49 (concede even more), and their attack is not so good as Atletico Madrids.

It is final game of the European League. Only two outcomes for me, boring game with 1:0, 0:1 result, late goal. Or open game with earlier first goal, and counters and more goals cause none of the teams will give up.

If we compare 52:46 and 49:49 in 37 games, you will get to same number 2.64 goals per match for both teams.

Taken in consideration H2H and only 5 draws in 34 games and average of 3.04 goals in H2H I must go for Over 2.5 here.

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Liberec can't calculate much. Losing this game in next game they play against Plzen. And if Plzen today wins at home against Pribram which they should, they would have same points, and in next match Plzen could be very dangerous rival.

Wining today. They would keep 2 points lead from Sparta Prague which I as well predict to win today, but odds to low to bet.

Jablonec is not bad team, among top scoring ones, but lately they are in bad form, middle of table is theirs and in last 5 games, have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 lost games.

Liberec is 2nd in form with 3-1-1, and amazing 12:4.

Away win should here be must. Liberec has capacity to do it.

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This is chance to prove this first place is not cause of easy opponents.
Goteborg won last 3 matches, but Elfsborg won from last 7, 6 matches.
Elfsborg won 12 times from 16 against Goteborg at home, 75% of the games.

Today Elfsborg will miss three important players in back, and we can add one (home ground + fans), while Goteborg is missing one important player in back.

Elfsborg is best home team, in last 19 games at home, in Allsvenskan, they lost 1 and draw 2 games, rest won ! In last 40 home games, they lost 2 games, ...

Cause of missing players in defense odds are higher than usual, I believe they can score more than concede.

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I saw this tip yesterday when watching PSG.
Odds were around 1.90 now around 1.80 !

Lille has no injury problems, they are in UCL and they play relaxed but they have still chance for title ! They will not miss it at home against Caen that is for sure.

So far H2H is on side of Lille. Caen is happy with last win against Lorient and today they are ready to lose. No big issue for them.

Home goal difference against Caen, 24:7.
Last couple of games, 3:1, 4:1, 5:0,even away 2:5...

I expect another high scoring game, 3:0, 4:0 for Lille.


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Lanus with mixed team, juniors.
Godoy will not have such chance against Lanus again. Lanus has priority in Copa Libertadores.

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No Info.

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Change to ST
Man City is in great form, all players available. Man Utd has game against poor Swansea, so they need to win last two games. Last one is against QPR which is fighting not to be relegated...

One goal advantage is never enough, they should win by more than 1 goal today.

Newcastle has great chance to get to 3rd place and UCL, but they are happy with place where they are, if any of the teams above doesn't win as well today, they still have chance to catch that goal next round.


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I don't like Croatian League, but Istra fans celebrate 20 years of existing, and Istra want to win this one for them.

Cibalia goes to this match with 14 guys, 3 juniors, that doesn't look good.

I expect home win !

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Sundsvall goes to this match without offensive players, and missing some middle players.

Helsingborg is not on level all expected, they do have best attack but its not working like it should.

Today I expect away win, great odds.

Sundsvall without:
Naurin, Dos Santos, Forsberg, Eklund, Skulasson

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Besiktas is in really bad form:
- last 14 games 1 win
- 3 draws
- 13 goals scored
- last 8 home games, 2 wins

Fenerbahce
- last 4 away matches 1 draw, 3 wins
- last 10 away matches scored in all
- in last 12 matches they don't know for defeat, won 10 drew 2

Cause today both teams with gks I believe in Over 2.5 game.

Fener will be without best scorer Alex, but there are other good players capable of scoring.

H2H between this two teams when Fener is away is 2.90 goals per match.

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Ruch had last game against poor Lodz. They lost 2 points, after 1st minute lead, they ended on half time 1:2 and final score 2:2.
Now they are only 1 point behind first two teams.

They learned lesson and will play against last team. Even under Lodz.

Cracovia has lost chance, and will relegate to 1. Liga.

18:37 goal difference (-19).

Today without couple of important players + combined setup. Today players that didn't play much will play, meaning they didn't used to play and will have trouble in first minutes to adjust.

Ruch has to start from minute one and I expect HT win.

I expect even 0:2, 0:3 result.

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I think this is gift !
Sion is 9 points behind Lausanne , but only reason for that is -36 points that Federation punished them !

With those 36 points Sion would be 2nd ! And now its 9 points behind relegation zone !

Laussane is worst team in league, 24:57 goal difference. Sion has 36:26.

Sion didn't lose a game away for a while now. 10 games, 4 wins, 6 draws. They are second away team in League.

Today Laussane without important players:
Moussilou, Lang, Coltorti, Page

Coltorti first gk (24/0)
Moussilou best striker (25/7)
Lang important middle (26/4)
Page defender (21/0)

Lausane scored 24 goals, and they miss two guys which scored 11 together, 46% of all goals.

Sion doesn't play great at home, but away they are great, only issue I see here is new coach, but that could be refreshment. This is must game for them if they want to keep chance not to be relegated !






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